Dialogue January-March, 2013, Volume 14 No. 3

 

Integrated Energy Policy Report of Expert Committee (2006)


Reproduced below is the overview chapter of the Report of the Committee under Dr. Kirit S. Parikh. It provides a real time insight in the energy sector issues, problems, and policy options to an informed reader. Those interested in more details can access the detailed Report on the Planning Commission website.

Overview

India faces formidable challenges in meeting its energy needs and in providing adequate energy of desired quality in various forms in a sustainable manner and atcompetitive prices. India needs to sustain an 8% to 10% economic growth rate, over the next 25 years, if it is to eradicate poverty and meet its human development goals. To deliver a sustained growth rate of 8% through 2031-32 and to meet the lifeline energy needs of all citizens, India needs, at the very least, to increase its primary energy supply by 3 to 4 times and, its electricity generation capacity/supply by 5 to 6 times of their 2003-04 levels. With 2003-04 as the base, India’s commercial energy supply would need to grow from 5.2% to 6.1% per annum while its total primary energy supply would need to grow at 4.3% to 5.1% annually. By 2031-32 power generation capacity must increase to nearly 8,00,000 MW from the current capacity of around 1,60,000 MW inclusive of all captive plants. Similarly requirement of coal, the dominant fuel in India’s energy mix will need to expand to over 2 billion tonnes/annum based on domestic quality of coal. Meeting the energy challenge is of fundamental importance to India’s economic growth imperatives and its efforts to raise its level of human development.

The broad vision behind the energy policy is to reliably meet the demand for energy services of all sectors at competitive prices. Further, lifeline energy needs of all households must be met even if that entails directed subsidies to vulnerable households. The demand must be met through safe, clean and convenient forms of energy at the least-cost in a technically efficient, economically viable and environmentally sustainable manner. Considering the shocks and disruptions that can be reasonably expected, assured supply of such energy and technologies at all times is essential to providing energy security for all. Meeting this vision requires that India pursues all available fuel options and forms of energy, both conventional and non-conventional. Further, India must seek to expand its energy resource base and seek new and emerging energy sources. Finally, and most importantly, India must pursue technologies that maximize energy efficiency, demand side management and conservation. Coal shall remain India’s most important energy source till 2031-32 and possibly beyond. Thus, India must seek clean coal combustion technologies and, given the growing demand for coal, also pursue new coal extraction technologies such as in-situ gasification to tap its vast coal reserves that are difficult to extract economically using conventional technologies.

The approach of the Committee is directed to realising a cost-effective energy system. For this the following are needed:

(i)  Wherever possible, energy markets should be competitive. However, competition alone has been shown to have its
      limitations in a number of areas of the energy sector and independent regulation becomes even more critical in such
      instances.

(ii) Pricing and resource allocations that are determined by market forces under an effective and credible regulatory oversight.

(iii) Transparent and targeted subsidies.

(iv) Improved efficiencies across the energy chain.

(v) Policies that reflect externalities of energy consumption.

(vi) Policies that rely on incentives/disincentives to regulate market and consumer behaviour.

(vii) Policies that are implementable.

(viii) Management reforms that create accountability and incentives for efficiency.

A competitive market without any entry barriers is theoretically the most efficient way to realise optimal fuel and technology choices for extraction, conversion, transportation, distribution and end use of energy. The tax structure and regulation across energy sub-sectors should be consistent and institutional arrangements should provide a level playing field to all players. Social objectives should ideally be met through direct transfers. Environmental externalities should be treated uniformly and internalised. A consistent application of "polluter pays" principle may be made to attain environmental objectives at least-cost where prescribed environmental norms are either not applied consistently or not being adhered to. An energy market with the above features would minimise market distortions and maximise efficiency gains. An integrated energy policy is needed to ensure that energy costs and availability do not constrain India’s economic growth and competitiveness.

While the medium to long-term challenges of ensuring competitive energy markets are formidable, the immediate problems of acute power shortages, adequate supply of good coal, gas shortages, and concerns of States rich in coal and hydro resources require immediate policy action. Our recommendations address immediate as well as the medium to long-term issues.

Key, high priority recommendations are summarised below:

(i) Ensuring Adequate Supply of Coal with Consistent Quality: Coal accounts for over 50% of India’s commercial energy consumption and about 78% of domestic coal production is dedicated to power generation. This dominance of coal in India’s energy mix is not likely to change till 2031-32. Since prices were de-controlled, the sector has become profitable primarily as a result of price increases and the rising share of open cast production. India would need to augment domestic production and encourage thermal coal imports to meet its energy needs. The Committee has concluded that along the western and southern coasts of India imported coal is more costcompetitive compared to domestic coal and further, imported coal is far more cost competitive compared to imported gas at these coastal locations. Such a cost advantage of imported coal over imported gas is likely to continue forsome time in the future. Thus:

Domestic coal production should be stepped up by allotting coal blocks to central and state public sector units and captive mines of notified end users. Coal blocks held by Coal India Limited (CIL) that cannot be brought into production by 2016-17, either directly or through joint ventures, should be made available to other eligible candidates for development and for bringing into production by 2011-12.

• At the same time the needed infrastructure must be created to facilitate thermal coal imports. This will facilitate coastal power generation capacity based on imported thermal coal. Imports of thermal coal will also put competitive pressure on the domestic coal industry to be more efficient.

• A system of pricing coal on its gross calorific value must replace the current system of pricing coal on the basis of broad bands of its useful heat value.

• Coal companies must be asked to conform to international practice of preparing coal prior to its sale. Washed coal must become the norm and use of unwashed coal should become the exception.

• The current system of coal linkages should be replaced by long-term coal supply agreements with strict penalties for not meeting contracted supplies, quality and offtake commitments.

• Coal must be brought under independent regulation to improve exploitation and allocation of available resources, and to regulate e-auctions and coal prices and to enable a competitive coal market to take shape.

• By the end of 2007-08 the quantity of coal sold through e-auction must reach 20% of domestic production.

• Ideally, the Coal Mines (Nationalisation) Act, 1973, should be amended to facilitate: (a) private participation in coal mining for purposes other than those specified in the Act and (b) offering of future coal blocks to potential entrepreneurs. A consensus should be built on the need to reform this Act.

(ii) Addressing Concern of Resource Rich States: Both coal and hydro resources are concentrated in a few states. Increasingly states are becoming more assertive in demanding higher share of benefits that their local energy resources provide to the country as a whole. Even though these are national resources and should not be rendered uncompetitive because of such demands, it is conceivable that mechanisms can be put in place that result in resource rich states reaping more equitable benefits. Allowing resource rich States a share in the profits of the enterprise tapping such local resources through what is called a "carried equity interest" and further allowing the state or its residents an opportunity to invest in such projects on equal terms and appropriately revising the royalty rate etc. are possible solutions to removing hurdles in exploiting these domestic sources of primary energy. The NDC must take up this issue immediately in respect of coal and hydro resources. Over the longer term, a National Policy on Domestic Natural Resources should be formulated and enacted through the Parliament.

(iii) Ensuring Availability of Gas for Power Generation: There is a total generation capacity of 12,604 MW based on gas and liquid fuels. Bulk of it is base loaded under combined cycle operation. However, gas supplies have been restricted and the overall utilisation remains at only 54.5%. A significant part of this capacity was realised under the earlier liquid fuel policy while the rest has been built based on unenforceable fuel supply agreements that would have been unbankable in any other environment. While requiring that no new gas capacity be built without firm and bankable gas supply agreements, effort should be made to allocate available domestic gas supplies to the fertiliser, petrochemicals, transport and power sectors at prices that are regulated to yield a fair return to domestic gas producers. Such a practice should be enforced till a better demand-supply balance emerges and domestic gas production achieves some of the potential that is often cited. A more competitive market can then function.

(iv) Power Sector Reforms: These must focus on controlling the aggregate technical and commercial losses of the state transmission and distribution utilities. This is essential to creating a financially robust power sector in each state. Only financially healthy state power distribution utilities can sustain the growing generation and transmission of Central Power Sector PSUs and State Power Sector Utilities (SPSUs) and provide the needed comfort on payment security to attract private investment in the power sector at internationally competitive tariffs.

Our recommendations:

• To control AT&C losses, the Committee recommends that the existing Accelerated Power Development and Reform Programme (APDRP) be restructured to ensure energy flow auditing at the distribution transformer level through automated meter reading, a Geographical Information System (GIS) mapping of the network and consumers and the separation of feeders for agricultural pumps. Investment in developing a Management Information System (MIS) that can support a full energy audit for each distribution transformer is essential for reduction in AT&C losses. This will also fix accountability and provide a baseline which is an essential prerequisite to management reform and/or privatisation. The revised APDRP will provide incentives to State Electricity Boards (SEBs) that are linked to performance outcomes and will also include incentives to staff for reduction in AT&C losses.

• The Committee also recommends that the liberal captive and group captive regime foreseen under the Electricity Act 2003 be realised on the ground. India’s liberal captive regime will not only derive economic benefits from the availability of distributed generation but will also set competitive wheeling charges to supply power to group captive consumers. This will pave the way for open access to distribution networks. It will also facilitate private generation that limits its interface with the host utility to the use of the distribution network for a fee and thus can be realised even before AT&C losses are reduced.

• To achieve these objectives, the Committee feels that it is essential to separate the cost of the pure wires business (carriage) from the energy business (content) in both transmission and distribution at different voltages. The Electricity Act 2003 recognises such separation for the transmission sub-segment. Separation of content from carriage in the distribution sub-segment, however, is considered only as a means to the provision of open access. The wires business within the distribution sub-segment is also a natural monopoly and must be regulated. Further, introduction of Availability Based Tariffs (ABT) for the intra-state sales and the upgrading of State Load Despatch Centres to the technological level of Regional Load Despatch Centres should be realised.

• Open access is resisted by incumbents as they fear that all the high value paying customers would go away and they would be left with small and subsidised agricultural and domestic customers. Since these customers have strong political constituencies, it may be difficult to raise their tariffs when needed and the incumbent utilities would not remain viable for long. These concerns can be taken care of if the cross-subsidy surcharge, wheeling charge and back-up charge are set properly. However, if these are set too high, open access could be effectively thwarted. These charges need to be periodically revised and independently regulated.

• A robust and efficient inter-state and intra-state transmission system with adequate surplus capacity that is capable of transferring power from surplus regions to deficit regions is a must for ensuring optimal operation of the system.

• Rehabilitation of existing thermal stations could raise capacity at least-cost in the short-run. Similarly rehabilitation of hydro stations could yield much needed peak capacity at negligible cost. Both these steps must be taken up urgently.

(v) Reduction in Cost of Power: In terms of purchasing power parity, power tariffs in India for industry, commerce and large households are among the highest in the world. It is important to reduce the cost of power to increase both the competitiveness of the Indian economy and also to increase consumer welfare. A number of measures are suggested for this.

• The Government Policy should ensure that all generation and transmission projects should be competitively built on the basis of tariff-based bidding. Public Sector Undertakings shall also be encouraged to participate in such bids even though the tariff policy allows them a 5 year window wherein projects undertaken by the public sector need not be bid competitively.

• In cases where tariff continues to be determined on the basis of costs and norms, regulators may either adopt a return on equity approach or return on capital approach, whichever is considered better in the interest of consumers. In deciding the level of return provided, the regulator should interalia take into account the return available on long-term government bonds and reasonable risk premiums associated with equity investments.

• The current practice of state regulators not allowing state public sector power utilities the same returns as the central public sector utilities should be strongly opposed in the interest of strengthening fair competition which alone will bring down prices in the long-run. Similarly differential payment security structures for Central Power Sector PSUs and the private sector should be abolished.

• Consumer prices for electricity are currently set by State Electricity Regulatory Commissions on cost plus basis. Regulators should set multi-year tariffs and differentiate them by time of day.

• Government should seed the capital markets to develop market-based instruments that effectively extend the tenure of debt available to power projects to, perhaps, 20 years. This will reduce the capacity charge in the earlier years and spread it more evenly over the life of the project.

• Unit sizes should be standardised and global tenders invited for a number of units to get substantial bulk discount.

• Distribution should be bid out on the basis of a distribution margin or paid for by a regulated distribution charge determined on a cost plus basis including a profit mark up similar to that paid for generation as suggested above.

(vi) Rationalisation of Fuel Prices: Relative prices play the most important role in choice of technology, fuel and energy form. They are thus the most vital aspect of an Integrated Energy Policy that promotes efficient fuel choices and facilitates appropriate substitution. In a competitive set up, the marginal use value of different fuels, which are substitutes, should be equal at a given place and time so that the prices of different fuels at different places do not differ by more than the cost of transporting the fuels. The resulting inter-fuel choices will then be economically efficient. Further:

• Prices of different fuels should not be set independently of each other. As a general rule, all commercial primary energy sources must be priced at trade parity prices at the point of sale, namely the Free-on-Board (FOB) price for products for which the country is a net exporter and Cost, Insurance and Freight (CIF) price for which it is a net importer. The price of a product for which the country is self-sufficient in a competitive market with many suppliers and buyers would fluctuate between the two depending upon the ease of import/export and reliability of supplies. In a situation with a monopoly supplier with exportable surplus at import parity price, the price would be in between the two depending on the price elasticity of domestic demand. This principle is extremely relevant for the petroleum sector wherein bulk of the crude oil is imported and India has become a net exporter of petroleum products.

• To cushion domestic prices against short-term volatility of prices on the international market (FOB or CIF) domestic prices can be set on the basis of median prices over the previous month or a three month period.

• The petroleum and natural gas sector is, once again, devoid of any competition and independent oversight of either upstream or downstream activities. On the upstream side, Directorate General Hydrocarbons (DGH), an arm of the Ministry, oversees allocation and exploitation of oil & gas reserves and enforces profit sharing with exploration & production companies. The current arrangement needs to be strengthened and made independent. On the downstream side, despite the dismantling of the Administered Price Mechanism, the GOI continues to control the pricing of automotive fuels, LPG, large part of domestic natural gas and PDS kerosene. There is no real competition in the sector other than in some peripheral products such as lubricants, despite the presence of a large domestic private player in refining and the likely emergence of other private players in this field. In fact, the prevailing pricing and taxation policies and the market structure provide significant protection to the private refineries. The result is that India’s refining capacity exceeds the demand by 18% already. There is an urgent need to have an independent regulator for both upstream and downstream sectors. The notification of the Petroleum & Natural Gas Regulatory Board Act, 2006, is thus welcome.

• In the petroleum sector, full price competition at the refinery gate and the retail level would lead to trade parity prices as described above. Thus instead of administering prices, full price competition should be introduced.

Coal prices should ideally be left to the market and trading of coal, nationally and internationally, should be free. Only a competitive free market can do an efficient job of price determination. A competitive market requires that there are multiple producers and that there are no entry barriers to new producers or to importers. Pending the creation of such a competitive market, independent regulation of coal prices becomes essential.

• Apart from CIL’s virtual monopoly in coal supply, coal prices cannot be determined in a competitive market open to all users as long as the largest coal consuming sector, i.e. power, has coal cost as a pass through. However, since other users of coal are numerous and consume substantial quantities of coal, a strategy for competitive price discovery is possible. We recommend as follows:

High quality coking and non-coking coal which are exportable may be sold at export parity prices as determined by import price at the nearest port minus 15%. This practise is currently being adopted for supply of good quality coking coal to the steel industry.

20% of the production may be sold through e-auction. Quantities to be sold through e-auction from different mines must be determined annually with a monthly mine-wise schedule to be independently monitored and enforced by a coal regulator.

Remaining coal should be sold under long-term Fuel Supply and Transport Agreements (FSTAs). Regulated utilities should be allowed upto 100% of their certified requirements through FSTAs. Other bulk consumers could be allowed partial FSTAs based on coal availability. Any shortfalls should be met through e-auction supplies or imports.

Pithead price of coal under FSTAs should be revised annually by a coal regulator on a basis that inter-alia takes into account prices obtained through e-auction, FOB price of imported coal (both adjusted for quality) and production cost, inclusive of return based on efficiency standards.

Coal prices may be made fully variable based on Gross Calorific Value (GCV) and other quality parameters.

• Natural Gas is not an easily tradable commodity. Making gas tradable requires significant investments in pipelines or, alternatively, in liquefaction, cryogenic shipping & regasification. Comparing local gas prices to spot LNG prices in the international market is grossly misleading. Again, linking gas prices to crude price movements is also misleading. Long-term supply contracts such as those in Europe are more representative of natural gas prices. Natural gas price can be determined through competition among different producers where multiple sources and a competitive supply-demand balance exist. As long as there is shortage of gas in the country and the two major users of gas, namely fertiliser and power, work in a regulated cost plus environment, a competitive market determined price would be highly distorted. Such distortions would get further amplified by the prevailing regime of fertilisder subsidies & power sector subsidies and cross subsidies. In such a situation price of domestic gas and its allocation should be independently regulated on a cost plus basis including reasonable returns.

• Another option could be to price gas on a net-back basis. If gas becomes a key component in India’s energy mix, it is pointed out that beyond the level of gas consumption in the fertiliser, petrochemical, automotive and domestic sectors, gas must compete with coal as the key alternative for power generation. This implies that the cost of generating peak or base electricity using gas cannot exceed the cost of peak or base electricity from coal, the cheapest alternative. A competitive coal market is thus important for setting a proper price of natural gas on a net-back basis. An alternative for a gas producers is to export gas, in which case the domestic gas price could be the net realisation of the domestic natural gas producer after investing and getting a return on the investment needed to make the natural gas tradable across borders in either a trans-border pipeline or through liquefaction and shipping facilities. For the foreseeable future, domestic gas supplies to both the fertiliser and the power sector, that together account for about 80% of the current gas usage, would need to be allocated based on availability and charged at regulated price that reflects cost of production and a reasonable profit.

• Central and State taxes on commercial energy supplies need to be rationalised to yield optimal fuel choices and investment decisions. Relative prices of fuels can be distorted if taxes and subsidies are not equivalent across fuels. This equivalence should be in effective calorie terms. In other words they should be such that producer and consumer choices as to which fuel and which technology to use are not affected by the taxes and subsidies. Socio-economic benefits such as employment generation and positive impact on energy security may support differential taxes on alternate fuels.

• Environmental taxes and subsidies, however, are levied precisely to affect choices. Differential taxes can be justified here if they appropriately reflect environmental externalities. A consistent application of the "polluter pays" principle or "consumer-pays" principle should be made to attain environmental objectives at least-cost where prescribed environmental norms are either not applied consistently or not being adhered to.

(vii) Energy Efficiency and Demand Side Management: Lowering the energy intensity of GDP growth through higher energy efficiency is important for meeting India’s energy challenge and ensuring its energy security. The energy intensity of India’s growth has been falling and is about half of what it used to be in the early seventies. Currently, we consume 0.16 kg of oil equivalent (kgoe) per dollar of GDP expressed in purchasing power parity terms. India’s energy intensity is lower than the 0.23 kgoe of China, 0.22 kgoe of the US and a World average of 0.21 kgoe. India’s energy intensity is even marginally lower than that of Germany & OECD at 0.17 kgoe. However, Denmark at 0.13 kgoe, UK at 0.14 kgoe and Brazil & Japan at 0.15 kgoe are ahead of India. These figures and many sectoral studies confirm that there is room to improve and energy intensity can be brought down significantly in India with current commercially available technologies.

Lowering energy intensity through higher efficiency is equivalent to creating a virtual source of untapped domestic energy. It may be noted that a unit of energy saved by a user is greater than a unit produced, as it saves on production losses as well as transport, transmission and distribution losses. Thus a "Negawatt", produced by a reduction of energy need has more value than a Megawatt generated. The Committee feels that with an aggressive pursuit of energy efficiency and conservation, it is possible to reduce India’s energy intensity by up to 25% from current levels.

Efficiency can be increased in energy extraction, conversion, transportation, as well as in consumption. Further, the same level of output or service can be obtained by alternate means requiring less energy. The major areas where efficiency in energy use can make a substantial impact are mining, electricity generation, electricity transmission, electricity distribution, water pumping, industrial production processes, haulage, mass transport, building design, construction, heating, ventilation, air conditioning, lighting and household appliances. As the Indian economy opens up to international competition, it will have to become more energy efficient. This is well demonstrated by India’s steel and cement industry. However, the Committee recommends the following policies for raising energy efficiency. Some of these policies can be implemented through voluntary targets undertaken by industry associations as opposed to external dictates and enforcement.

• Merge Petroleum Conservation Research Association (PCRA) with Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE). The merged entity should be an autonomous statutory body under the Energy Conservation Act, be independent of all the energy ministries and be funded by the Central Government. It must:

• Force the pace of improvement in energy efficiency of energy using appliances, equipment and vehicles, and create "golden carrot" incentives in the form of substantial rewards to the firm which first commercialises equipment that exceeds a prescribed energy efficiency target.

• Enforce truthful labelling on equipment, and impose major financial penalties if the equipment fails to deliver stated efficiencies. In extreme cases, resort to black listing of errant suppliers on consumer information web sites and in government procurement.

• Establish benchmarks of energy consumption for all energy intensive sectors.

• Disseminate information, support training and reward best practices with national level honours in energy efficiency and energy conservation.

• Increase the gross efficiency in power generation from the current average of 30.5% to 34%. All new plants should adopt technologies that improve their gross efficiency from the prevailing 36% to at least 38-40%.

• Require a least-cost planning approach to provide a level playing field, to Negawatts and Megawatts so that regulators permit the same return on the investment needed to save a watt as to supply an additional watt.

Promote minimum life cycle cost purchase instead of minimum initial cost procurement by the government and the public sector.

Promote urban mass transport, energy efficient vehicles and freight movement by railways through scheduled freight trains with guaranteed, safe and timely deliveries. Enforce minimum fuel efficiency standards for all vehicles.

• Institute specialisations in energy efficiency/conservation in technical colleges and commence certification of such experts.

(viii) Augmenting of Resources for Increased Energy Security: India’s energy resources can be augmented by exploration to find more coal, oil and gas, or by recovering a higher percentage of the in-place reserves. Developing the thorium cycle for nuclear power and exploiting nonconventional energy, especially solar power, offer possibilities for India’s energy independence beyond 2050.

At a growth rate of 5% in domestic production, currently extractable coal resources will be exhausted in about 45 years. However, only about 45% of the potential coal bearing area has currently been covered by regional surveys. It is also felt that both regional as well as detailed drilling can be made more comprehensive. Several possible options are recommended:

• Covering all coal bearing areas with comprehensive regional and detailed drilling could make a significant difference to the estimated life of India’s coal reserves.

• India’s extractable coal resources could be augmented through in-situ coal gasification which makes use of those coal deposits which are at greater depth and cannot be extracted economically by conventional methods.

• Extracting coal bed methane before and during mining could augment the country’s energy resources.

• Enhanced oil recovery and incremental oil recovery technologies could improve the proportion of in-place reserves that could be economically recovered from abandoned/depleted fields.

• Isolated deposits of all hydrocarbons including coal may be tapped economically through sub leases to the private sector.

(ix) Using Energy Abroad: In case India can access cheap natural gas overseas under long-term (25-30 years) arrangements, it should consider setting up captive fertiliser and/or gas liquefaction facilities in such countries. This would essentially augment energy availability for India.

(x) Role of Nuclear and Hydro Power: Even if India succeeds in exploiting its full hydro potential of 1,50,000 MW, the contribution of hydro energy to the energy mix will only be around 1.9-2.2%. It is clarified that hydro share in the primary energy mix comes out lower because of the way oil equivalence of hydro electricity is calculated. A hydroelectric plant converts a unit of primary energy in the form of potential energy to almost one unit of electricity. The fossil fuel route or the nuclear route needs almost 3 units of a primary energy source to produce the same unit of electricity. Thus while hydro’s share in primary energy mix is lower than that of nuclear, the kWh produced from hydro is higher. Similarly, even if a 20-fold increase takes place in India’s nuclear power capacity by 2031-32, the contribution of nuclear energy to India’s energy mix is also, at best, expected to be 4.0-6.4%. If the recent agreement with the US translates into a removal of sanctions by the nuclear suppliers’ group, possibilities of imports of nuclear fuels as well as power plants should be actively considered so that nuclear development takes place at a faster pace.

Nuclear energy theoretically offers India the most potent means to long-term energy security. India has to succeed in realising the three-stage development process described in the main report and thereby tap its vast thorium resource to become truly energy independent beyond 2050. Continuing support to the three-stage development of India’s nuclear potential is essential.

Though its contribution to energy requirement is limited, hydro electricity’s flexibility and suitability to meet peak demand makes it valuable. Moreover, the development of hydropower, especially storage schemes, are critical for India as our per capita water storage is the lowest among other comparable countries. Creating such storages is critical to India’s water security, flood control and drought control. The environmental concerns and the problem of resettlement and rehabilitation of project affected people (PAPs) can and must be satisfactorily handled. The PAPs should benefit from the project as much as other beneficiaries. This can be accomplished, for example, as follows:

• Require compulsory land consolidation and impose a betterment levy in kind of (say) 5 percent of land on the command area farmers. Use this land to resettle and compensate all PAPs.

(xi) Role of Renewables: From a longer-term perspective and keeping in mind the need to maximally develop domestic supply options as well as the need to diversify energy sources, renewable remain important to India’s energy sector. It would not be out of place to mention that solar power could be an important player in India attaining energy independence in the long run. With a concerted push and a 40-fold increase in their contribution to primary energy, renewables may account for only 5 to 6% of India’s energy mix by 2031-32. While this figure appears small, the distributed nature of renewables can provide many socio-economic benefits.

Subsidies for renewables may be justified on several grounds. A renewable energy source may be environmentally friendly. It may be locally available thereby making it possible to supply energy earlier than in a centralised system. Grid connected renewables could improve the quality of supply and provide system benefits by generating energy at the ends of the grid where otherwise supply would have been lax. Further, renewables may provide employment and livelihood to the poor. However, the subsidies should be given for a well-defined period or upto a well-defined limit.

• The Committee recommends that for promoting renewables, incentives should be linked to outcomes (energy generated) and not just outlays (capacity installed). Even when a capital subsidy is needed, it should be linked to outcomes. For example, capital subsidy could also be given in the form of a Tradable Tax Rebate Certificate (TTRC) that could be based on actual energy generated. The rebate claim would become payable depending upon the amount of electricity/energy certified as having been actually supplied.

• Power Regulators must create alternative incentive structures such as mandated feed-in-laws or differential tariffs to encourage utilities to integrate wind, small hydro, cogeneration etc. into their systems.

• An annual renewable energy report should be published providing details of actual performance of different renewable technologies at the state and national levels. This should include actual energy supplied from different renewable options, availability, actual costs, operating and maintenance problems etc. It should also report on social benefits, employment created, and women’s participation and empowerment.

• Policies for promoting specific alternatives are suggested in the main text. These include fuel wood plantations, bio-gas plants, wood gasifier based power plants, solar thermal, solar water heaters, solar photovoltaics, bio-diesel and ethanol.

• It is also recommended that the Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency Ltd (IREDA) be converted into a national refinancing institution on the lines of NABARD/National Housing Bank (NHB) for the renewable energy sector. IREDA’s own equity base can be expanded by the financial institutions of the country instead of continuing the current system of GOI support.

(xii) Ensuring Energy Security: India’s energy security, at its broadest level, is primarily about ensuring the continuous availability of commercial energy at competitive prices to support its economic growth and meet the lifeline energy needs of its households with safe, clean and convenient forms of energy even if that entails directed subsidies. Reducing energy requirements and increasing efficiency are two very important measures to increase energy security. However, it is also necessary to recognise that India’s growing dependence on energy imports exposes its energy needs to external price shocks. Hence, domestic energy resources must be expanded. For India it is not a question of choosing among alternate domestic energy resources but exploiting all available domestic energy resources to the maximum as long as they are competitive.

The Committee, however, felt that obtaining equity oil, coal and gas abroad do not represent adequate strategies for enhancing energy security beyond diversifying supply sources. In contrast, pipelines for importing gas do enhance security of supply if the supplying country makes a major investment in the pipeline. The most critical elements of our energy security, however, remain the measures suggested herein to increase efficiency, reduce requirements and augment the domestic energy resource base.

Ensuring energy security requires dealing with various risks. The threat to energy security arises not just from supply risks and the uncertainty of availability of imported energy, but also from possible disruptions or shortfalls in domestic production. Supply risks from domestic sources, such as from a strike in CIL or the Railways, also need to be addressed. Even if there is no disruption of supply, there can be the market risk of a sudden increase in energy price. Even when the country has adequate energy resources, technical failures may disrupt the supply of energy to some people. Generators could fail, transmission lines may trip or oil pipelines may spring a leak. One needs to provide security against such technical risks. Risks can be reduced by lowering the requirement of energy by increasing efficiency in production and use; by substituting imported fuels with domestic fuels; by diversifying fuel choices (gas, ethanol, orimulsion tar sands etc.) and supply sources; and by expanding the domestic energy resource base. Risks can also be dealt with by increasing the ability to withstand supply shocks through creation of strategic reserves, the ability to import energy and face market risk by building hard currency reserves and by providing redundancy to address technical risks. We recommend as follows:

• Maintain a reserve, equivalent to 90 days of oil imports for strategic-cum-buffer stock purposes and/or buy options for emergency supplies from neighbouring large storages such as those available in Singapore. The buffer stocks could be used to address short-term price volatility. Operating the strategic/buffer reserves in cooperation with other countries who maintain such reserves could also increase their effectiveness.

• Since 80 percent of global hydrocarbon reserves are controlled by national oil companies controlled by respective governments, oil diplomacy establishing bilateral economic, social and cultural ties can reduce supply risk.

(xiii) Boosting Energy Related R&D: India will find it increasingly harder to import its required quantities of commercial energy as her share of the incremental world supply of fossil fuels could rise from a low of 13% in the most energy efficient scenario to a high of 21% in the coal dominant scenario by 2031-32. This assumes that the world’s supply of fossil fuels grows by only 2% per annum till 2031-32. Research and Development (R&D) in the energy sector is critical to augment our energy resources, to meet our long-term energy needs and to promote energy efficiency. Such R&D would go a long way in raising our energy security and delivering energy independence over the long-term. R&D requires sustained and continued support over a long period of time. Energy related R&D has not been allotted the resources that it needs. India needs to substantially augment the resources made available for energy related R&D and to allocate these strategically. To take an innovative idea to its commercial application involves many steps. Basic research leading to a fundamental breakthrough may open up possibilities of applications. R&D is needed to develop conceptual breakthroughs and prove their feasibility. This needs to be followed up by a working, laboratory scale model. Projects that shows economic potential could then be scaled up as pilot projects, while keeping in mind cost reductions that could be achieved through better engineering and mass production. Demonstrations of such projects, economic assessments and further R&D to make the new technology acceptable and attractive to customers could follow, before finally leading to commercialisation and diffusion. Some key policy initiatives relevant to energy related R&D are detailed below:

• A National Energy Fund (NEF) should be set-up to finance energy R&D. Our expenditure on R&D excepting for atomic energy, which as of today provides less than 3 percent of our total electrical energy supply, is miniscule compared to what industry and governments spend in developed countries. In the latter, firms generally spend more than 2 percent of their turnover for R&D. The total expenditure on R&D in 2004-05 was Rs.610 crores* for Atomic Energy and Rs.70 crores for Ministry of Power, Coal and Non-Conventional Energy Sources. Even at one-tenth of the rate at which firms in developed countries spend on R&D, i.e. 0.2% of the turnover of all energy firms whose turnover exceeds Rs.100 crores a year, we end up with Rs.1000 to Rs.1200 crores per year which will increase overtime. We should be spending much more than this on R&D. Much of R&D can be considered a public good. It is thus better financed by the Government. Initially an allocation of Rs.1000 crores should be made for energy R&D excluding atomic energy. To begin with, individuals, academic research institutions, consulting firms, private and public sector enterprise, should all compete for this fund. Firms may also be encouraged to enhance their expenditure on R&D through tax incentives.

• The resources devoted to research in different areas depend on the economic importance of that particular area, the availability of technology and the likelihood of success. The latter changes with time as new developments in science and technology take place and uncertainties reduce. R&D *Only about 15% of this amount or about Rs.90 crores, was for R&D on nuclear power. The rest of the expenditure is for R&D on non-electricity applications of Radiation Technology and Fundamental Research. priorities have to be based on a dynamic strategic vision which is frequently updated. Of critical importance is research and analysis for the energy policy to outline technology road maps. The NEF should encourage and fund such studies on a regular basis in a number of institutions and should also commission them from experienced and qualified individuals.

• The NEF should support energy policy modelling activities in a number of institutions on a long-term basis. The different modellers should be brought together periodically in a forum to address specific policy issues.

• A number of technology missions should be mounted for developing near-commercial technologies and rolling out new technologies in a time bound manner. These include coal technologies (where India should focus) for efficiency improvement; in-situ gasification; IGCC and carbon sequestration; solar technologies covering solarthermal and photovoltaics; bio-fuels such as bio-diesel and ethanol; bio-mass plantation and wood gasification, and community based bio-gas plants.

• Coordinated research and development in all stages of the innovation chain to reach a targeted goal (such as that in place in the departments of atomic energy and space research) should be used to develop more efficient industrial plant, machinery & processes, efficient appliances, hybrid cars, super batteries, nuclear technologies related to thorium and fusion, gas hydrates, and hydrogen production, storage, transport and distribution.

• The NEF could provide R&D funding in support of applications, innovative new ideas, fundamental research etc. to researchers in different institutions, universities, organisations and even individuals working independently.

• A number of academic institutions should be developed as centres of excellence in energy research.

(xiv) Household Energy Security - Electricity and Clean Fuels for All: One of the toughest challenges is to provide electricity and clean fuels to all, particularly rural populations given their poor paying capacity, the limited availability of local resources for clean cooking energy, and the size of the country and its population. The considerable effort spent on gathering biomass and cow-dung and then preparing them for use is not priced into the cost of such energy. These fuels create smoke and indoor air pollution, are inconvenient to use, and adversely affect the health of people, particularly women and children. Yet, given the fact that women and girls carry most of the burden of the drudgery and also bear the brunt of indoor air pollution, the urgency to meet the challenge should be high. Such steps are needed for our broader need to achieve universal primary education for girls, promote gender equality and empower women. Easy availability of a certain amount of clean energy that is required to maintain life should be considered as a basic necessity. Energy security at the individual level implies ensuring supply of such a lifeline energy need. India cannot be energy secure if her people remain without secure supply of energy for lifeline needs. Ensuring this would require targeted subsidies as many households would be unable to pay for safe, clean and convenient commercial energy to meet lifeline needs. This requires:

Electrification of All Households: The government has announced its commitment to ensure this by 2009-10.

Provision of Cooking Energy: We may set a goal to provide clean cooking energy such as LPG, NG, biogas or kerosene to all within 10 years. It may be noted that the requirement of cooking energy does not increase indefinitely with income. Thus the total amount of LPG required to provide cooking energy to 1.5 billion persons is around 55 Mtoe.

Other Sources: We may provide fuel wood plantations within one kilometre of all habitations. Those who do not have access or cannot afford even subsidised clean fuels, rely on gathering wood. Neighbourhood plantations can ease their burden and the time taken to gather and transport wood.

The Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY) was launched to achieve electrification of all households. By 2009-2010 the RGGVY aims to electrify the 1,25,000 villages, still without electricity; to connect all the estimated 2.34 crore unelectrified households below the poverty line with a 90% subsidy on connecting costs; and finally, to augment the backbone network in all the electrified 4.62 lakh villages. The 5.46 crore households above the poverty line which are currently unelectrified, are expected to get electricity connection on their own without any subsidy. Going by current experience, all these households above the poverty line may not seek such connectivity on their own.

To make RGGVY sustainable, a business plan with a viable revenue model needs to be elaborated. A clear pricing and subsidy policy and the means of targeting the subsidy need to be announced soon. Local bodies, panchayati raj institutions, NGOs or even local entrepreneurs can take the franchise to run the local network. Women’s self-help groups can also be empowered to do so.

The consumer pays about 40% of the import parity price for kerosene sold through the Public Distribution System (PDS). The balance 60% of the price is being funded largely by oil sector PSUs and to a small extent by the Government through the budget. However, subsidies do not reach the intended beneficiaries due to poor targeting. The real issue is to improve targeting within the subsidy programme well and ensure that those falling outside the subsidy net pay the full cost of supply. Additionally, a well-targeted subsidy regime may only marginally raise the current subsidy burden.

• The best way for providing subsidy for electricity and cleaner fuels, kerosene or LPG, is to entitle targeted households to 30 units of electricity per month and LPG, kerosene or bio-gas purchased from a local community size plant equivalent to 6 kg of LPG per month. A system of debit cards may be introduced to deliver such a subsidy. The entitlements can only be used for purchase of these products. With modern ICT, debit card readers operated on battery and feeding data using mobile technology, can work in rural areas of the country as well.

In addition to the above subsidy, other actions are also needed that create energy secure villages. We suggest:

• Finance a large scale socio-economic experiment to operate communitysized bio-gas plants as a commercial enterprise either by a community cooperative or by a commercial entrepreneur. Bio-gas plants on this scale could meet the need for clean cooking energy of a sizable segment of the rural population.

• Even with subsidies for clean fuel, it may not be easy to reach clean fuels to the poor and they may continue to use fuelwood. As part of the above programme, improve the efficiency of domestic chullahs and lanterns from the prevailing 10-12% to 20-25%, which is easily attainable and couple this to improving ventilation in the cooking area of the dwellings. The surplus biomass released as a result of better efficiency could be used in gasifiers for generating electricity.

• Generate electricity through wood gasifiers or by burning surplus biogas from the community bio-gas plants. Such distributed generators may be able to take electricity to villages sooner than the grid. This will encourage local generation and could conceivably feed the grid with surplus power at an agreed feed in tariff at a future date. Formulate a tariff policy for such distributed generation for both household and productive use including agriculture.

• To reduce drudgery of those who still need to gather fuel, develop woodlots within one kilometre of the village. Provide finance through self-help groups to transform women, who, today are only energy gatherers, into micro-entrepreneurs engaged in rural energy markets and energy management. Women’s groups can form co-operatives for developing and managing fuel wood or oil seed plantations with the same effort that they put towards searching and gathering fuel wood today.

• For setting up of off-grid generation facilities in rural areas, encourage the organised sector to adopt rural community/communities in their areas of operation.

(xv) An Enabling Environment for Competitive Efficiency: Apart from pricing policies, an environment that allows multiple players in each element of the energy value chain to compete on transparent and equal terms is essential to realising efficiency gains within the energy sector. Currently the sector is dominated by large Public Sector Companies and some sub-sectors have natural monopoly characteristics potentially offering economies of scale. Given this ground reality, independent & informed regulation becomes essential to realising competitive efficiency. Such regulation can play an important role to see that competitive markets develop and mature. Such regulation must in the very least ensure that:

• The regulatory responsibility/functions of the State are separated from the Ministries that control the Public Sector Units dominating the energy sector; and

• Till effective competitive markets emerge, independent regulators should fix prices or price caps to mimic competitive markets based on principles summarised in para (v) above. Even when competitive markets emerge, the regulators’ role will continue to remain important.

(xvi) Climate Change Concerns: Concern vis-a-vis the threat of climate change has been an important issue in formulating the energy policy. Even though India is not required to contain its GHG emissions, as a signatory to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and a country which has acceded to the Kyoto Protocol, India has been very active in proposing Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects. By May 2006, a total of 297 projects had been approved by India with approximately 240 million tonnes of CO2 reduction. Also, since the impact on the country’s poor, due to climate change, could be serious, this report has suggested a number of initiatives that will reduce the green house gas intensity of the economy by as much as one third. These are:

- Energy efficiency in all sectors
- Emphasis on mass transport
- Active policy on renewable energy including bio-fuels and fuel plantations
- Accelerated development of nuclear and hydro-electricity
- Technology Missions for clean coal technologies
- Focussed R&D on many climate friendly technologies

The broad policy framework and the thrust of development suggested here need to be made more specific. To this end once the policy framework is accepted, detailed roadmaps of development should be chalked out and specific policy measures for implementation drafted.

With the recommendations of the Committee, India can meet her energy requirements in an efficient, cost effective way and be on a path of sustainable energy security.

Dialogue (A quarterly journal of Astha Bharati)

                                               Astha Bharati