Dialogue July
- September, 2001 , Volume 3 No. 1
Editorial Perspective
The Summit
The Agra Summit is just over. Unlike earlier summits, Pakistan failed to outwit
India this time and to convert its defeat in war into victory in diplomacy; it
also failed to get India pressurised to submit. For the first time a Pakistani
ruler went back empty handed. The Home-Minister, rightly, raised the question of
extradition treaty and cross boarder terrorism.
Pakistan waged four wars with India in last 50 years and was a loser each time. 1965 war was a national disaster for Pakistan according to Air Marshal Nur Khan and Altaf Gauhar. The story of 1971 war is well known. According to Nawaz Sharif, Pakistan suffered heavier casualties in its Kargil misadventure than in the entire 1965 conflict. But the average Pakistani is informed otherwise, and the lie moulds their attitude towards India.
India gained 1920 sq. kms of strategic territory in 1964 war; it lost 540 sq. kms to Pakistan. Pakistani losses included 650 sq. kms. in Hazi Pir segment of Kashmir near Muzaffarabad and 830 sq. kms. in Punjab near Lahore. These strategic gains of war were lost to the successful Pakistani diplomacy at Tashkent in 1965. The same thing happened at Shimla in 1972. India returned 17000 sq. kms. of the territory and the captured 93,000 strong army to Pakistan on the verbal assurance of Mr. Bhutto that the line of Control would gradually be converted into an international border. It is ironic that the country releasing thousands of Pakistani soldiers was thoroughly insensitive towards the suffering of its own 54 soldiers of 1971 war, who are yet to be freed from the Pakistani jails. The country returned the areas claimed to be its own; it insisted on maintaining Line of Control, rather than the international border. India was a loser due to (i) weak diplomacy, (ii) inconsistency in its stand on J&K, and (iii) insensitivity towards its own soldiers.
Vajpeyi, after repeated denials, ultimately, invited Parvez Musharraf for talk; he took several confidence building measures. He ordered the release of 229 Pakistani fishermen from Indian jails and the non-arrest of fishermen of that country straying in Indian waters, but 196 Indian fishermen continue to languish in the jails of Pakistan. There was not only no response from Pakistan to the confidence building measures from this side but even the positive measures on visas and scholarships were viewed as a distraction. Vajpeyi failed to understand Pakistani mind. His actions, like the earlier ones - of cease-fire, attempt to talk with Hurriyat and others - were taken as signs of Indian weakness. May be he was sending signals to the international community. But, these positive gestures had no meaning for Pakistan. Vajpeyi should not have hoped to succeed where Gandhi failed.
The summit started in the background of one-sided confidence building measures and concessions, the media-hype and the hope generated without any valid reason. The General came for peace, but the Pakistani guns continued to boom on the line of control, the cross-border terrorist violence continued unabated, the General continued to have rigid stand and the "Kashmir and the only Kashmir" agenda. He wanted focus only on Kashmir and the same to be recognized as a dispute, or at least as an issue. Prime Minister Vajpeyi insisted on composite dialogue.
There is basic difference even on Kashmir between the two countries. As far as India is concerned, the state of Jammu & Kashmir is its integral part. The legality of the States accession to India is unquestionable. For Pakistan, Kashmir is the part of the unfinished agenda of Partition. For India, it is not the Kashmir, but the cross-border terrorism, Pakistani aggression and the PoK, which form the core of the dispute. Any compromise on these issues shall amount to compromise on its principle of secularism. There was practically, no meeting point between the stand of the two countries.
It needs mention that Pakistan has no regard for the agreements and treaties made by her. It attacked Jammu& Kashmir, even after signing stand-still treaty with Maharaja Hari Singh. It did not
withdraw its army from the PoK (in reality, Pak-occupied- Kashmir is a misnomer; the area belong to Jammu and, Gilgit & Baltistan), continues to violate UN Security Council resolution of August 1948. Simla and Lahore agreements have no meaning for Pakistan; Line of Control was violated just after Lahore. It needs mention that even the Nawaz Sharif government, as per a statement made in Washington on July 4, 1999, undertook not to alter the Line of Control by force. But, Musharraf recognizes neither Shimla nor Lahore. It is significant that democratically elected Prime Ministers of Pakistan made both the agreements. There was no agreement at Agra; not even a press statement.. But, even if an agreement was made,there was no surety that the next government in Pakistan was to recognize the same, especially, when the main political parties of Pakistan opposed his trip.The Indian media failed to educate the Indians on real issue. It chased sensation and failed there also. There was hardly any mention of almost 50% of the area of the State occupied by Pakistan and its part handed over to China. The media failed to project the views of the Jammu, Laddakh, Shias, Bakarwals, Gujjars, Pandits, and sober sections of the Sunnis of the valley. Hurriyat got disproportionate coverage. By and large, the Indian media remained Pakistan sympathetic. Again, there was virtual take over of our media by all sorts of Pakistanis with all sort of formulas and prescriptions; at a time threatening, at a time luring, and then admonishing to show a little flexibility. Musharraf was a hero for the sensation- hungry Indian media. His mere presence, even his wardrobe, mesmerized the journalists. It was surprising that none of the senior editors raised questions on the impertinent utterances of the Pakistani dictator during the breakfast meet. After all, they never behave so tamely when they meet their own leaders. Perhaps, these were the reasons that Musharraf praised Indian media for fairness and Pakistani media for their patriotism. Next to Pakistanis, Track II got undue coverage. Both combined to weaken Indian stand.
Wrong opinions were often ventilated through the media. The opinions, such as, "Vajpeyi should be bold and accommodating as he has greater space for manoeuvre"; "he should provide concessions
to Pakistan", "he should buy peace at any cost" and many more aimed at facilitating Pakistan, and confusing and weakening Indian stand, found abundant space in Indian media Some of the concessions demanded through media were easier visa norms, easier intra- Kashmir travel, and demilitarization of Siachen. These demands should have been conceded only after due examination by the strategic experts. The visa liberalization and easy movement may facilitate easy movement of terrorists and ISI agents. Demilitarization of Siachen may enable Pakistan army to sneak into Siachen through Bilafond la pass and to Daulat Beg Oldi through Saser pass to encircle Laddakh. They may join up Chinese at Aksai Chin. The area is strategically located and presently protected by only 1000 troops. It was never under Pakistan since 1949 cease-fire. Pakistan occupied area ended before the glacier at NJ 9842. Pakistan, however, wanted to occupy that area in the summer of 1984, but Indian army was already there three months earlier. DGMO level talk on demilitarization is a wrong step and is going to be counter- productive. Earlier, India declared unilateral cease-fire which gave terrorist organizations an opportunity to regroup and prepare themselves for offensive surprise attacks and our own security forces to go defensive.Track II activists and the leftists came out frequently with the myths and lies, which confused Indians. Money is openly asked and received in rallies in Pakistan by terrorists for purchasing bullets. But; they tell this side that the people of both the countries want peace. "Development Deficit, India, Pak in the same leaky Boat", "Indo-Pak problem same as Indo-Bangla, Indo-Nepali, Indo-Shrilanka problem", "South Asian seat in Security Council" "the human rights situation in both India and Pakistan" highlighted parity myths and confused the Indians. Concern for Tada by the persons with no concern for terrorism sounded strange. There were attempts to justify Pakistan inspired violence and hatred. A prominent journalist discovered the cycle of hatred. And the fact that Pakistani hate feeds on Indian hate. Perhaps, the hype and hope was not without basis for the Indian media.
General Musharraf did not bother to follow due protocol and to come to welcome Shri Vajpeyi at Lahore. But he was honored
with too much fanfare at Rashtrapati Bhawan. Ideally, his visit should have been a working visit only He was irritatingly whimsical, thoroughly insensitive to his hosts sensitivity, undiplomatic, unimaginative and stubborn; he had total disregard for all established diplomatic norms. Inviting pro-Pak Hurriyat leaders for tea party, the breakfast meeting with the senior Indian journalists in the midst of the summit and its live telecast, re-affirmation of his continued support for the terrorist activities and terming it freedom struggle, comparing Kashmir to Palestine, labeling Masood Azhar, a confirmed terrorist, a religious leader, were least expected from a responsible leader seeking peace. It was not the occasion for such inflammatory statements that innocent blood will always be split.Musharraf praised Vajpeyi, admonished religious extremists not to talk irresponsibly against India; he also talked about flexibility and open mindedness. He, at the same time, had repeated invocation for jihad and openly expressed his scant regard for agreements made by his country. The architect of Kargil defended Kargil. For him, Kargil was an answer to Shiachin and Kashmir terrorism to that of the Mukti Bahini in East Pakistan. There was inconsistency in his statements. He was sending diverse signals. He was simultaneously addressing diverse groups - to Mullahs in Pakistani army, to Talibanized clerics, to India and the international community. Being an Urdu speaking Mohajir and a self-appointed president, his position was weak. His playing to the galleries was, mainly, aimed at strengthening his position and for attaining greater acceptability at the home front. This was necessary in a country that defines itself in anti-Hindu, anti-Indian, medieval and theological parameters based on ruthless negation of its own pre-Islamic past. Musharraf has the same mindset as his predecessors had.
What tempts Pakistan on the path of confrontation inspite of repeated defeat and huge socio-economic costs? The main factors seem to be (i) multiple inner weaknesses of India, and (ii) the myths and lies guiding Pakistani action.
The Indian weaknesses flow, mainly, from (i) weak diplomacy, (ii) incapability to counter Pakistani propaganda and mould international public opinion, (iii) incapability to understand Pakistani
mind; one sided concessions, (iv) perceptional haziness, (v) ideological inconsistency, (vi) miscarriage of secular politics, (vii) misdirected confused actions based on the myopia, selfishness and hypocrisy of its political elite, (viii) weak media, (ix) confusions created by liberals and track II activists, and (x) intellectual terrorism. Most of these factors overlapped.Indian diplomacy failed from the very beginning in case of Kashmir. Pakistan took full advantage of the cold war situation; the Americans, the British and the Chinese supported.them. They managed to receive Chinese nuclear bomb and the missile technology. India failed even to neutralize the USSRs pressure at Tashkent. The American think-tank on Kashmir sided with Pakistan. Owen Dixon wanted Kashmir valley to go to Pakistan. Chenab plan was, practically the replica of Dixon plan, and the basis of both was the "Two Nation Theory". The recent Autonomy Plan of the state is structured more or less on communal lines and does not differ much from the Dixon and Chenab plans.
The country used to develop cold feet, whenever Pakistan raised Kashmir and the human rights issue at any International fora. Its propaganda machinery remained always weak. Indian leaders took wrong steps many times due to their failure to read the Pakistani mind correctly. The recent Indian positive actions sent wrong signals across the border. Pakistanis, in general, and terrorist in particular, took it as a sign of Indian weakness and interpreted that the Indian leadership and Army is tired of the terrorists, that the battle-fatigued Indian army has pressurised Indian Prime Minister for the summit, and, that the Indians were pressurised by the Americans for the summit. This line of thinking is in conformity with the Pakistanis belief in the myth, that Indians, particularly Hindus, are cowards that they are incapable of tolerating suffering for long. And so, Pakistans line of thinking runs along this: if they persist in exporting terrorism from across the boarder, Indian public opinion will make the rulers surrender Kashmir. But this is a myth created by the British, strengthened by the Indian left and believed by the.Gandhians. It motivates and encourages the Pakistanis for Jehadi action.
Jammu & Kashmir is an integral part of India. But, Indian leadership, very often, avoids talking about the Pok; its reference
was missing in the last summit. India returned parts of the State conquered back during 1965 and 1971 wars to Pakistan. It was a self-contradictory step. The leadership talks about the sanctity of the LoC, rather than that of the international border. The Indian leadership fails to send clear signals that the real issue for India is the Pakistani aggression and the return of Pak occupied areas.The greatest source of the Indian weakness, in this case, is its compromised stand on secularism. J&K was given special status. But why? Because, it is a Muslim majority state. Why article 371? Why a Muslim majority state needs special status in the secular polity? Clearly, it was a case of ideological inconsistency. The country compromised its secular principles in Kashmir. This amounted to double talk and hypocrisy. It weakened our stand on secularism as well on Kashmir.
Sheikh Abdullah ensured non-participation of Jammu in the Constitution making process of the State. The elections were rigged. He separated Doda from Udhampur and Kargil from Laddakh. It was the divide based on communal considerations. For Nehru, Sheikh was Kashmir. This created problem for the country. Nehru was wrong. Congress-National Front combine rigged elections in Kashmir. All these did not have healthy impact on the internal situation of the٥杶+e{7ۉ^bWnrn(+^qzuMŢuקqzkqz|ӝvǧnrf8^]x-جi^1"zwe뢺Zzv)ඇbxĈݗ'jZuاƛ K'v\+Nibhv+nWH,~rz讖y8^]x-جi^1"zwe뢺Zzv)ඇbxĈݗ'j٥杶+e{7ۉ^bWnrn(+^qzuMŢuקqzkqz|ӝvǧnrf8^]x-جi^1"zwe뢺Zzv)ඇbxĈݗ'jZuاƛ K'v\+Nibhv+nWH,~rz讖y8^]x-جi^1"zwe뢺Zzv)ඇbxĈݗ'j